Risk Analysis in Project Appraisal: Assessment of Risk and Return in Capital Investment Decisions
The book deals with the assessment of risk and return in capital investment decisions and has as its focus four fundamental analytical components of investment appraisal. These are: (1) a methodologically correct and complete integrated financial model to project the cash flows (2) the application of appropriate marketing analysis to determine the competitiveness of a proposed project; (3) the step-by-step setting up of the financial model for the application of risk analysis using appropriate Monte Carlo Simulation software; and (4) the analysis of the results of the probabilistic appraisal for the assessment of risk and return of the capital investment project and how this is applied particularly in project finance situations.
It is rather unique as it presents a comprehensive conceptual framework with clarity and real-life examples. It is likely to be in demand by both professionals and students where Monte Carlo Simulation software is used extensively such as universities, ministries of finance, development banks, consultants, and project finance companies, as well as banks in the assessment of the repayment capability of corporate loans.
Savvakis C. Savvides is a former Senior Manager at the Cyprus Development Bank. He was Head of the Project Financing Division specialising in the evaluation and financing of capital investment projects. He has been a regular Visiting Lecturer on the Harvard Institute for International Development Program on Investment Appraisal and Management at Harvard University, USA and on the Program on Investment Appraisal and Risk at the John Deutsch Institute for the Study of Economic Policy at Queen’s University in Canada. He is the author of several publications on investment appraisal, risk analysis and the application of marketing and business strategy in project evaluation. He is also the developer of professional software for risk analysis and financial modelling, such as RiskEase, which is used worldwide by professionals and academics to assess project risk.
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